Blackjack Card Counting Challenge - What's the Count?
I'm new to blackjack and every casino I've gone to in Vegas and Arizona have automatic shuffling machines and dealers shuffle almost after every hand.
So is card counting worth it?
Another question, if you take away card counting, are the odds still in favor of a skilled player?
As I stated before in you also have to consider a Floorperson such as I was who would have my dealer break the shoe 2 decks modern card counting blackjack and re-shuffle non-machine games if I noticed you might be counting.
I would also switch dealers just to burn a card and then switch them right back to burn another shuffle machine games.
That was just my way of saying hello and letting you know that I know.
My favorite though was just talking to you, as it is tough to keep count when someone keeps asking you questions and won't go away.
Of course I could've just told you to get up and walk but where's the fun in that.
I've often wondered though what % they factor in for the situations and distractions that arise while playing that can't be quantified.
Fact is if the dealer and Floorperson are good at what they do you are not that modern card counting blackjack to spot.
So my advice is learn good solid basic strategy, money management, and patience.
We won't beat you up so fast and you might enjoy yourself in the process.
Betting patterns are the easiest way to spot counters.
Also I'd look for those whose eyes never leave the cards, is concentrating just a bit too hard, kind of oblivious to what is rather hi lo 13 european blackjack share on around modern card counting blackjack, talking very little if at all, isn't drinking alcohol, maybe sweating a bit for no apparent reason, steals glances at me between hands yet won't make eye contact with me.
All the body language things people tend to do when up to no good.
COUNTING CARDS ON AN AUTOMATIC SHUFFLING MACHINE IS 100% WASTING YOUR TIME.
Without counting and without the necessary varying your bet size as per the count, the game has a long-run 0.
It is perfectly normal to have negative variance, and for some people, the negative variance far exceeds the positive variance.
That means that if over the course of 1 night i played perfect blackjack, and i played 5 hours of 100 hands per hour at 25 dollar average bet, i was mathematically expecting a MEAN profit of about 125 to 250 dollars per trip.
Long double bet BJ advantage player's is between 1% and 2% of all wagers.
Certainly the actual results varied.
Some nights i walked away up 2000-4000 in profits.
So, in general, the game gets even harder to beat when you modern card counting blackjack to make any real money off of it.
I guess if your main income only makes you 20-40k then counting cards may be for you, but i doubt that anyone smart enough to count will be stuck in a job working for 40k for long.
The legacy lives on with statistical poker playing, and at the height of online poker, there were guys using the same gambling math and risk management that the blackjack teams were, but they weren't getting run out of the online poker rooms by any pit bosses!
So i believe that the academic community believes that poker is more +EV than BJ in its current state.
Good stuff, I don't disagree with any of that.
Only thing I can see is that you were likely playing with a high ROR considering your bankroll vs.
There are ways to make counting more profitable and "worth it", but it's a hard grind all around all the same.
Or are there still hand shufflers out there?
The dealer still pulls from a shoe and hand deals the cards, but the shoe is countable because the used cards are not immediately re-shuffled back into the deck where new cards are to come out.
Your 2nd answer is misleading.
Ever heard of hole-carding?
No counting needed for a 13% edge.
Beyond Counting by James Grosjean you can't depend on any random dealer out there to hole card.
If your goal is to have a longterm hobby, by all means learn to count cards and find the best games you can.
If, in the other hand, your goal is to make heaps of money without working a traditional job, then absolutely not.
It's profitable, sure, but to make astronomical sums of money generally requires an astronomical bankroll and a serious time commitment.
There are so many more profitable ways to beat the casinos -for a lot more money- that it isn't really worth it.
Even with exceptionally skilled play in favorable games, you're looking at a longterm edge less than you get from edge sorting Let It Ride -- an advantage technique that will not only net you as much or money, but also offer you MUCH better longevity vs counting.
If you want to make loads of money it's all in exploiting the proprietary games these days.
With the right conditions and play techniques, Three Card Poker, Let It Ride, Ultimate Texas Hold 'em, and Mississippi Stud all offer a return MUCH better than counting cards ever will.
Im a casino dealer and i have seen a lot of people trying to count cards and fail, is very hard, but is possible.
Remember that counting cards is not gonna give you an advantage, it just reduce the house edge of the casino.
You now have about a 46% chance of winning each hand that you play.
But sometimes, within that, you'll have long periods of mostly winning, and long periods of mostly losing.
Sometimes the remaining cards are in your favor.
Sometimes your chances will be 55%, sometimes very rarely even 60%.
Counting techniques are explained and the potential odds are quantified.
Each added deck slashes your % gain.
If they did, your guess as to the remaining cards could eventually be perfect.
But they stop a deck or two before that point.
My Conclusions: BJ odds, in the practice, in the long term, are never in the odds of the player.
Not without card counting, not with it.
Allow some experts to come in with a computer system, to play perfectly hand after hand after hand, aggregating every counting technique known.
They will still lose over a long enough period of time.
If they could win that way, then Wall Street would invest modern card counting blackjack black jack, and casinos would modern card counting blackjack their rules.
It's set up so that the odds are very close to being in your favor, but not quite enough.
Sooooo much wrong with your post.
You now have about a 46% chance of winning each hand that you play.
It's 43% win, 48% lose, 9% push.
That doesn't change much, even in high counts when counting.
Sometimes your chances will be 55%, sometimes very rarely even 60%.
Hell fucking no, that won't happen, no way, no how.
The money you make from counting is NOT AT ALL from winning more hands you won't, certainly nowhere near the extent you modern card counting blackjack to thinkbut rather from profitable doubling and split opportunities as well as having higher bets out when blackjacks come.
Read "Beat the Dealer" by Thorp.
Counting techniques are explained and the potential odds are quantified.
Pass Beat the Dealer, it's old and out of date.
Modern casinos play with 5 or more decks.
Each added deck slashes your % gain.
Get's diminished back down to 2% with 7 decks Complete BS.
Every single figure in this paragraph is wrong, as well as the point you're trying to make.
This is relative to house edge, which is what matters, not the nearly unchanging win %.
BJ odds, in the practice, in the long term, are never in the odds of the player.
Not without card counting, not with it.
Wrong, wrong, wrong, wrong.
You don't have a clue, do you?
BJ odds CAN be in favor of the player WITHOUT counting.
You won't find that game nowadays, but it used to be offered.
WITH counting, you have an edge, otherwise you're doing it wrong and you just don't have a clue what you're doing.
Sims and theory proves it.
Allow some experts to come in with a computer system, to play perfectly hand after hand after hand, aggregating every counting technique known.
They will still lose over a long enough period of time.
Wow, that is a depth of cluelessness I couldn't imagine in someone pretending to be knowledgeable about the game.
You're completely off the track, and it's obvious you really don't know much about counting at all.
Suffice it to say, you couldn't be more wrong.
If they could win that way, then Wall Street would invest in black jack, read article casinos would change their rules.
Casinos have changed their rules in various ways in response card counting.
The fact that you don't know this shows you really don't know what you're talking about.
You chose your username damn well.
BJ odds CAN be in favor of the player WITHOUT counting.
You won't find that game nowadays, but it used to be offered.
Could you expand on modern card counting blackjack />Single deck blackjack with the following rules: S17, DOA, NoDAS, RS4, NoRSA.
With these rules, the basic strategy player has a positive expectation of 0.
For all practical purposes, an even gamble, but still the slightest bit in favour of the player.
I had a reference to it being offered in the olden times, just can't track it down right now.
Pretty much 0 chance of finding those rules in single deck today though.
With basic strategy the expected value is negative, meaning that over time you will lose.
With card counting the expected value is positive, which means that over time you will win provided you have sufficient bankroll to handle losing streaks.
There are other factors, of course.
Making mistakes, getting cheated and getting barred are all reasons why counting is harder than it looks.
The Truth about Backoffs as a Card Counter
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